By Abir A Chaaban
We are now approaching a real war. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Israel and the United States are on one front and Syria, Iran, Lebanon, Russia and probably China are on the other front. The Arab-US strategy is to weaken the Lebanese, Syrian and Iranian front by internal struggles, so that these states would be exhausted before the US, Israel and the Arabs could make a first strike.
Historically, neither Israel, nor America managed to achieve any of their objectives in the region by war. In 1982, Israel aimed at eliminating the Palestinian threat emerging from South Lebanon. Their alliance with the Christians created a worse threat than the Palestinians. A powerful enemy emerged with the alliance of Iran, Syria and Hezbollah. Similarly, the United States invasion of Iraq, while it had destroyed the Iraqi military power in the region, it also destroyed the only Arab military that was willing to attack Iran, opting instead for Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
In fact, Qatar has a no population base to fight the war; they have arms and no men. Saudi Arabia's population growth is putting it at an advantage. Its population base will probably, be sufficient to construct an army. The question that immediately arises, of course, is would the Saudis fight on the side of Israel. Probably they would, if the propaganda of war made a convincing case that the enemy is the Persian - Shi'a , the historic enemy of the Arabian and Wahabis. The US would provide Saudi Arabia with arms. It will not provide it with men.Since, Americans are exhausted from the war in Iraq, financially and militarily. Israel on the other hand had historically had a slow population growth, which makes depending on Israel to provide the warrior supply a limited option.
Right now the Israel-US problem is not a problem of arms, it is a problem of availability of men that will be effective to operate these arms long enough to win the war. This is why constructing a Chechen, Afghan and Pakistani radical Wahabi Salaf ideology is imperative. Since, the enemy of Israel and the United States share one thing in common. They are Shi'a. The US and Israel may continue the fight this war only if they could guarantee the continuous supply of men from Pakistan and Afghanistan in what would be promoted by the propaganda of war as the sectarian Sunni- Shi'a war where Shi'a means Iran, Hezbollah and Syria.
We are now approaching a real war. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Israel and the United States are on one front and Syria, Iran, Lebanon, Russia and probably China are on the other front. The Arab-US strategy is to weaken the Lebanese, Syrian and Iranian front by internal struggles, so that these states would be exhausted before the US, Israel and the Arabs could make a first strike.
Historically, neither Israel, nor America managed to achieve any of their objectives in the region by war. In 1982, Israel aimed at eliminating the Palestinian threat emerging from South Lebanon. Their alliance with the Christians created a worse threat than the Palestinians. A powerful enemy emerged with the alliance of Iran, Syria and Hezbollah. Similarly, the United States invasion of Iraq, while it had destroyed the Iraqi military power in the region, it also destroyed the only Arab military that was willing to attack Iran, opting instead for Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
In fact, Qatar has a no population base to fight the war; they have arms and no men. Saudi Arabia's population growth is putting it at an advantage. Its population base will probably, be sufficient to construct an army. The question that immediately arises, of course, is would the Saudis fight on the side of Israel. Probably they would, if the propaganda of war made a convincing case that the enemy is the Persian - Shi'a , the historic enemy of the Arabian and Wahabis. The US would provide Saudi Arabia with arms. It will not provide it with men.Since, Americans are exhausted from the war in Iraq, financially and militarily. Israel on the other hand had historically had a slow population growth, which makes depending on Israel to provide the warrior supply a limited option.
Right now the Israel-US problem is not a problem of arms, it is a problem of availability of men that will be effective to operate these arms long enough to win the war. This is why constructing a Chechen, Afghan and Pakistani radical Wahabi Salaf ideology is imperative. Since, the enemy of Israel and the United States share one thing in common. They are Shi'a. The US and Israel may continue the fight this war only if they could guarantee the continuous supply of men from Pakistan and Afghanistan in what would be promoted by the propaganda of war as the sectarian Sunni- Shi'a war where Shi'a means Iran, Hezbollah and Syria.
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